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Market News

Trump and Harris Tied on Polymarket After Debate

Trump’s odds of winning the 2024 election fell by up to 3% on Polymarket, now tied at 49% with Harris after the debate.

Written By Ronak Kumar
Fact Checked by Dhara Chavda
Published September 11, 2024 11:45 AM·Updated 2 years ago
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In a significant development, the Cyber Crime Unit of the Criminal Investigation Department (CID) arrested Shubhang Jain, a 26-year-old software engineer, for allegedly embezzling Rs 56 crore worth of cryptocurrency from a Bengaluru-based firm. Jain, a resident of Haryana, was employed at Cipher Technologies Private Limited, where he had access to the company’s cryptocurrency wallets. Jain worked with Cipher Technologies from May 2021 to April 2022. According to police reports, he had control over the company’s wallets and is accused of transferring large amounts of cryptocurrency to personal wallets. The company’s CEO, Akhil Gupta, noticed the missing funds and filed a complaint with the Subramanyanagar police on April 28, 2022. The case was later handed over to the Cyber Crime Unit of the CID. Investigators revealed that Jain, skilled in cryptocurrency trading, had diverted the stolen funds to wallets controlled by his relatives. He used the stolen money to live in luxury hotels while maintaining a low profile, making it challenging for authorities to track him. The breakthrough came on July 29 this year when police examined Jain’s call logs and found numerous calls to house brokers. However, it took over a month to apprehend him as investigators awaited him to activate his mobile phone. Jain was eventually arrested in Mumbai. Jain, a BTech graduate from an engineering college in Vellore, had secured his job at Cipher Technologies through interviews conducted on a Telegram group. His arrest marks a significant achievement for the CID's Cyber Crime Unit, highlighting their commitment to tackling financial crimes in the cryptocurrency sector.

In the first debate on September 10 in Philadelphia, Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump didn’t talk about cryptocurrency at all. This led to Trump’s chances of winning the 2024 election falling to a tie on the betting platform Polymarket.

The issues that were discussed in the two hours included economic plans, abortion, immigration, and foreign policies. The odds of Trump’s victory decreased by up to 3% on Polymarket, positioning him at 49% with Harris. This change can be attributed to increasing levels of ambiguity regarding the outcome of the election among the bettors.

Trump’s 2024 Odds Tie After Debate Ignores Cryptocurrency
Source: Polymarket

Harris, who was composed and tenacious during the debate, interrupted Trump, who looked irate and made several false statements, as PolitiFact noted.

The outcome of the debate has been felt in the crypto market. Some experts have estimated that if Trump wins, the Bitcoin rate could rise to $ 90,000 per coin by the end of the year. Trump has vowed to repeal anti-crypto regulations and turn the U.S. into a crypto-friendly country. 

On the other hand, if Harris emerges as the winner, some believe that the price of Bitcoin could fall to $30,000 because of her stand on the cryptocurrency is not as clear as that of Harris.

There is the involvement of crypto-backed political action committees in this election cycle. They have amassed over $202 million to fund the 2024 elections; the largest PAC, Fairshake, has $177.8 million and spending $70.8 million so far.

Pre-debate national polls indicate that Harris is ahead of Trump by a margin of 2.7 percentage points, which could be attributed to the voters’ general apprehension concerning the economy, inflation, and immigration, and not necessarily the crypto.

Since the debate is now over, the focus will be on how the positions of the candidates change and how this may impact the political and crypto markets in the future months.

Also Read: MAGA Coin Price Drops 10% After Heated Trump-Harris Debate

Disclaimer: The information researched and reported by The Crypto Times is for informational purposes only and is not a substitute for professional financial advice. Investing in crypto assets involves significant risk due to market volatility. Always Do Your Own Research (DYOR) and consult with a qualified Financial Advisor before making any investment decisions.

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